The diffusion theory has a main goal of explaining how, why, and at what rate new ideas and technology spread. This theory has been used in recent years to attempt to predict the future outcome of autonomous vehicles. When the car was first invented nobody thought that it could eventually lead to self driving cars. Well it happened and in recent years the market and technology for autonomous vehicles have grown at a extremely fast rate.
I personally don't know how I feel about this change in technology; I can see the benefits, but I also am worried that we as humans are starting to get to comfortable with letting technology do to many things for us. It is clear that our technological advancements are capable of amazing things, but when will we reach the point where enough is enough.
The diffusion theory is a wonderful tool that researchers and scientists can use to judge the outcome of their ideas and inventions. By predicting that the autonomous vehicles will be equivalent to the amount of human drives by the year 2050 is almost unbelievable. It shows how fast our society can adapt to such a life changing advancement that will completely restructure the roads as we know them.
In the graph pictured below you can see the prediction of how fast we believe the market value will increase. At this point it almost seems inevitable for autonomous vehicles to take the road; due to their effectiveness and ability to use other forms of power then natural gasses.
The Diffusion of Innovation Theory
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